Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 1.851323e-03 0.002048 0.002247 0.002462 0.002687 0.002915 0.003164
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1.567724e-03 0.001853 0.002150 0.002481 0.002837 0.003207 0.003618
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.386036e-03 0.001743 0.002126 0.002563 0.003043 0.003551 0.004125
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.229190e-03 0.001644 0.002101 0.002635 0.003233 0.003875 0.004612
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.021137e-03 0.001468 0.001976 0.002585 0.003279 0.004038 0.004920
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 8.612384e-04 0.001332 0.001886 0.002564 0.003353 0.004226 0.005252
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.568837e-04 0.001254 0.001855 0.002606 0.003493 0.004486 0.005664
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.412833e-04 0.001150 0.001785 0.002595 0.003567 0.004668 0.005985
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.667117e-04 0.001091 0.001766 0.002641 0.003705 0.004920 0.006385
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.042902e-04 0.001043 0.001754 0.002694 0.003847 0.005177 0.006789
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.546258e-04 0.001007 0.001756 0.002759 0.004004 0.005449 0.007210
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.694129e-04 0.000909 0.001669 0.002708 0.004016 0.005548 0.007429
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.804976e-04 0.000807 0.001589 0.002690 0.004100 0.005771 0.007839
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.121854e-04 0.000727 0.001535 0.002703 0.004223 0.006045 0.008318
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.697757e-04 0.000684 0.001531 0.002783 0.004433 0.006427 0.008929
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.317772e-04 0.000641 0.001522 0.002854 0.004633 0.006799 0.009532
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.965474e-05 0.000546 0.001425 0.002799 0.004667 0.006968 0.009893
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.554849e-05 0.000474 0.001355 0.002776 0.004740 0.007182 0.010309
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.726913e-05 0.000433 0.001333 0.002819 0.004898 0.007502 0.010851
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.113369e-05 0.000377 0.001276 0.002806 0.004979 0.007725 0.011277
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.134219e-06 0.000346 0.001260 0.002853 0.005140 0.008047 0.011822
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 7.678896e-07 0.000319 0.001250 0.002908 0.005310 0.008379 0.012380
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000299 0.001250 0.002976 0.005497 0.008735 0.012966